PREMIUM
6* Kansas City vs Buffalo
(NFL) Chiefs (KC) vs. Bills (BUF),
Total: 46.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
Total: 46.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
Defensive Strength: Both teams bring strong defensive units to the table. The Chiefs’ defense has been exceptional, allowing just 16.2 points per game, ranking 2nd in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Bills’ defense is no pushover, sitting 10th in opponent EPA per play, showcasing their ability to contain high-powered offenses.
Line Movement Trends: The total has shifted slightly from 46.5 to 46, signaling sharp action on the Under. This movement suggests professional bettors anticipate a defensive battle, adding weight to the lower-scoring potential.
Chiefs' Game Style: Kansas City thrives in tight, defensive battles, with seven of their nine wins this season coming by seven points or fewer. Their ability to control low-scoring games makes this matchup prime for another close contest.
Bills' Defensive Strategy: Buffalo has historically done well against Patrick Mahomes, holding him to a 46 Total QBR over their last three regular-season meetings. Expect the Bills to stick with their proven approach, forcing Mahomes into short, methodical drives to eat up time and limit big plays.
Run Defense Edge: The Bills’ run defense has been stout, allowing a Rush EPA per play of -0.143 (8th in the NFL). This could neutralize the Chiefs’ ground game, keeping the clock running and further reducing scoring opportunities.
Time of Possession: Kansas City’s ball-control offense leads the league in time of possession (33:01) and has racked up the most 10-play drives (26). Their methodical approach limits possessions for opponents and naturally lends itself to lower totals.
Playoff-Like Intensity: With the importance of this game, both teams are likely to adopt a more conservative, mistake-free game plan. These high-stakes matchups often lead to tighter, lower-scoring affairs.
Trends: The Under is 8-0 in Kansas City's last 8 games vs a .750 or better opponent and 5-0 in Buffalo's last five game eleven's.
This game shapes up as a defensive battle, with both teams comfortable in slower-paced, controlled games. The Chiefs’ ball-control offense and the Bills’ success in containing Mahomes suggest value in the Under 46. Expect a playoff-like atmosphere with limited scoring opportunities.
Line Movement Trends: The total has shifted slightly from 46.5 to 46, signaling sharp action on the Under. This movement suggests professional bettors anticipate a defensive battle, adding weight to the lower-scoring potential.
Chiefs' Game Style: Kansas City thrives in tight, defensive battles, with seven of their nine wins this season coming by seven points or fewer. Their ability to control low-scoring games makes this matchup prime for another close contest.
Bills' Defensive Strategy: Buffalo has historically done well against Patrick Mahomes, holding him to a 46 Total QBR over their last three regular-season meetings. Expect the Bills to stick with their proven approach, forcing Mahomes into short, methodical drives to eat up time and limit big plays.
Run Defense Edge: The Bills’ run defense has been stout, allowing a Rush EPA per play of -0.143 (8th in the NFL). This could neutralize the Chiefs’ ground game, keeping the clock running and further reducing scoring opportunities.
Time of Possession: Kansas City’s ball-control offense leads the league in time of possession (33:01) and has racked up the most 10-play drives (26). Their methodical approach limits possessions for opponents and naturally lends itself to lower totals.
Playoff-Like Intensity: With the importance of this game, both teams are likely to adopt a more conservative, mistake-free game plan. These high-stakes matchups often lead to tighter, lower-scoring affairs.
Trends: The Under is 8-0 in Kansas City's last 8 games vs a .750 or better opponent and 5-0 in Buffalo's last five game eleven's.
This game shapes up as a defensive battle, with both teams comfortable in slower-paced, controlled games. The Chiefs’ ball-control offense and the Bills’ success in containing Mahomes suggest value in the Under 46. Expect a playoff-like atmosphere with limited scoring opportunities.
