These are not the Chiefs from the Tyreek Hill days. One thing to note is that Mahomes has 31 touchdowns of 10 yards or less this season. This team goes on much more methodical drives. At home this season, the Chiefs are scoring nearly a touchdown less per game. They are also allowing just 19 points per game this season at home and in the team's last three games, they are allowing 19 points per game. They sacked Lawrence four times in the previous matchup and allowed 17 points. Take the under, 53 points.