Florida finds themselves in a letdown spot after fighting so hard against Tennessee only to lose the game and lose their quarterback Mertz as well. With Lagway the back up in, they face a very good Kentucky defense with a good run game. Kentucky in the end should be able to shut down the Gators offense in a close competitive game in the swamp. Kentucky is 6-0-1 against the spread in their last seven games versus Florida. Kentucky is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on the road. Florida is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games at home.

Best bet: take Kentucky on the moneyline (ML).