Michigan is off three losses and they face Iowa who have just come off one of their better season wins against Washington. Their run game has been solid and this team is very disciplined so the Spartans will have a tough time trying to stop them. The Spartans are 0-5 against the spread at home versus good rushing teams that average 4.75 or more rushing yards per carry. Michigan State is also struggling to put up offense. This is also a look ahead spot for the Spartans who play their rival Michigan next week. Iowa is 8-3 against the spread off on the road in the last three seasons and 3-0 against the spread when they are a road favorite. Iowa is 8-1 against the spread off of a home win in the last three seasons. Michigan State is 2-6 against the spread at home in the last three seasons. Michigan State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games at home. Iowa just shut down Minnesota so the Spartans should be another team they can do the same too.

Best bet: lay the points with Iowa.