FIU is the better team of the two. Even though UTEP has just started to play a little better this far into the season, they will be outmatched in this game on both offense and defense, giving up over 7 yards per play to opponents. They have trouble handling the ball, are turnover prone and haven't made any big plays this season under QB Skyler Locklear. UTEP is one of the worst teams in the FBS and are no better at home. UTEP is 0-7 in their last 7 games at home. On the flip side, FIU is also playing this game with revenge as UTEP beat them last season 27-14. UTEP is 1-4 against the spread as a home underdog of 7 points or less and are 2-8 against the spread after a loss by 17 or more points. FIU is 3-0 against the spread on the road versus poor teams who get outscored by 10 plus points per game on the season. FIU is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

Best bet: lay the points with FIU.