The Broncos offense has not been consistent under Bo Nix. Rattler didn’t do any better on offense either, he went 22 of 40 passes for 243 yards, one touchdown and two picks. The Saints still will be without some of their offensive weapons in this game, so the offense will not be there as they go up against one of the better defenses in the league. The Broncos are putting up an average of 18.7 points of offense on the road this season, while New Orleans are averaging 13 points per game versus AFC opponents. The Broncos are 2-0 to the Under on Thursday nights and are 3-0 to the Under in dome games. The Saints are 6-1 to the Under on Thursday nights. The Saints are 14-6 to the Under versus good passing defenses that are allowing 175 or less passing yards per game. This total of 37.5 is low but Thursday night football has gone under the total since 2017 65% of the time, or 20-7 to the Under. Totals under 37.5 specifically in prime time games have gone under the total at a 73% rate. This is more of a system play so there is value in taking under the total.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.