The Phillies have Wheeler on the mound and he has been solid for them and they have won him for most of the season. He puts in a stellar performance and steers his team to a win in this first game. They have the better lineup and they have the edge in their bullpen. The Mets have had to travel a lot in the last week and have gone through their bullpen somewhat. This is a better spot for the rested team. Philadelphia is 9-2 in their last 11 games at home. Philadelphia is 8-3 in their last 11 games when playing at home against the Mets. The Phillies are 37-14 in their last 51 home games versus a right-handed starter. Wheeler is 23-6 as a favorite of -175 to -250 at home.

Best bet: take Philadelphia on the moneyline (ML) up to -1.