Atlanta is off a win at home while Tampa Bay is off an upset win over the Eagles. This is a short week for the road team and they have a ton of injuries they are dealing with, even if most of them start in this game, they are not 100% healthy. The Bucs played a very physical game and the temperature was very hot and humid in that game and very draining for players. Expect less energy from the Bucs in this game as they face Kirk Cousins who already has a win in prime time this season. He’s getting better in prime time and he has done fine against the blitz this season. The Falcons should be able to establish the run and cause some problems for the Buc’s secondary as well. They are at home in a dome environment where they play their best. This should be a slower grind it out divisional game and a letdown spot for the Bucs off that huge emotional win. According to NFL database betting angles, Thursday night home teams (Atlanta) win 78.4% on the moneyline or are 40-11 straight up, when they are off a win against a divisional rival (NO) in their previous game before playing on Thursday’s. The safer bet is to place a moneyline bet. Road teams (Tampa Bay) off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog against an opponent (Atlanta) who is off a win against a division rival (NO), are just 4-19 against the spread in their next game. Take Atlanta to win the game.

Best bet: take Atlanta on the moneyline (ML).