These two pitchers have good ERA’s but both have had some hiccups down the stretch. Lugo got hit by the Orioles the last time out and their bats were quiet yesterday but they should be active today in this desperation spot. Lugo has an ERA of 3.95 in his last three starts while Eflin has been good at home for Baltimore but has a day ERA of 4.30 and the Royals have gotten at him in the past. This should be a more offensive active day. The Orioles bullpen is not the greatest either so there should be more runs today. The Over is 4-1 in the Royals last 5 playoff games as an underdog.

Take the Over the Total.