The Houston Astros have been winning with Valdez on the mound as the team is 18-6 with him on the mound and Seattle’s Gilbert has been really good for the Mariners, however, both pitchers can give up runs as both bullpens are hittable, so this game should go over the total. Seattle may be an Under team at home, but on the road they tend to go Over the Total in their games. The total has gone Over in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road. The total has gone Over in 9 of Houston's last 12 games at home. The Over is 4-1 in the Astros last 5 games as a favorite. The Over is 8-1-1 in the Mariners last 10 games versus a right-handed starter.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.