Roma is coming into this match with a slight trend to the under in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches and their defense has been better recently as they have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 4 matches. When playing at home, they have not been trending to the under in these matches, but their defense has been great as they have only allowed 1 goal in their last 4 matches there. They are going up against a Genoa side that has been trending heavily to the under in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in their last 2 straight as well as 5 of their last 7 matches. Their defense has been great in these as they have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 7 matches, allowing no goals in their last 2 matches, and they have also been in better form recently with 2 wins in their last 3 matches and no losses. When playing away from home, they have gone under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches and their defense has been great in these matches as well, allowing just 1 goal in those 5 matches. Their attack has not been great though as they have only scored 2 goals in their last 3 away matches so they are going to lean more on their defense in this match. Roma has been in great form recently with their attack scoring a lot of goals, but Genoa has also been in great form defensively so it is not going to be easy for Roma to break down their defense here. Roma has also been keeping a lot of clean sheets at home and Genoa has not been scoring a lot of goals in their recent away matches. This is going to be a low scoring and more defensive match that stays under 2.5 goals.
Italy Serie A: Roma/Genoa under 2.5 goals, Rot. 201342