The Pacers are coming into this game with an 11-8 record this season and they have been playing well recently as they have won their last 2 straight games. This is a competition the Pacers have been very focused on winning this year as they went 4-0 during the group stage and managed to beat out the Celtics in their last game as well. They have beaten the Celtics and the Heat in their last 2 games and they are playing with the confidence to go all the way to the finals right now. They are going up against a Bucks team that is 15-6 this season and has also been focused on this competition as they also went 4-0 during the group stage. They beat the Knicks in their last game to get here and have also won their last 2 straight games, but the Bucks did lose to the Pacers earlier this season and the Pacers are a team that matches up very well against the Bucks here. The Bucks are averaging 118.3 PPG allowed which is one of the highest in the NBA since their effort on the defensive end has been awful all season. This will benefit the Pacers since they lead the league in points, averaging 128.4 PPG, and they will be able to keep up with the Bucks with their shooting as they have been doing so all season against better teams. The Pacers are going to keep this a closer game even if they lose, but they can definitely win this game in an upset. The Pacers will cover the spread here.