The Bulls averaged over 114 points a game against Miami's defense and shot 51% from the floor. The Heat averaged 100 points a game in the three losses to Chicago. This is the lowest total for either team all season. The total points scored in Miami's first play-in game was 221, and Chicago's was 214. All the top scorers in this game are healthy, and there are five players in the game averaging over 20 for the season. The Bulls have gone over the total in four of the last six. The Bulls did not shoot well from deep against the Raptors but have shot the deep ball well this season against the Heat. This number looks too low, even for a playoff game. Since this is a win-or-go-home game, you could see this one get stretched out at the end with some extra free throws adding to the total.

Play on the OVER.