This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the OVER Heat/Hawks.

All three games in this series have fallen UNDER the number, but we're expecting that trend to get reversed here today as Atlanta will desperately try and even things up.

Game 3 almost went OVER the number. It landed on 221 and the O/U number was 222.5. That's how razor sharp these Over/Under lines are most of the time in all sports, literally coming down to the final moments.

However, I don't think we'll have to sweat anything this time, as I believe this total will blast well past the posted number as the game comes down the stretch.

Perhaps home floor will prove to be a major advantage for each team. If that's the case, then this will be a long and great series.

Regardless, after losing Game 3 as a 2-point favorites, the Heat can't sit back and hope for the best, they'll have to push the pace here and look for an answer.

The Hawks have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last nine as well after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row.

Perception has now driven this number a few points lower than it normally would be, so the play is the OVER in Game 4.

Good luck, NP