This is a 6* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH on the Houston Astros.

Lance Lynn (4-1, 1.93 ERA) is coming off his first shaky outing of the season, allowing four runs off five hits over six innings in a loss to the Dodgers on Saturday.

LA is a difficult team no matter who is on the hill, but Lynn's early spectacular numbers don't seem realistic over the long-term. He's also been involved with trade rumor talks, which is a big off-field distraction working against him as well.

The home side goes with Zack Greinke (2-0, 2.68), who owns a sharp 0.94 WHIP and 35:6 K:BB so far. Last year Greinke was 18-5 with a 2.93 ERA and he was 8-1 with a 3.28 ERA at home.

I think Greinke continues his steady season, while everything points to Lynn taking another big step back this afternoon.

I'm laying the price, the play is Houston!

Good luck, NP