Boston exploded for ten runs on Saturday, but don't expect a repeat performance on Sunday against Seth Lugo. The Royals' starter is steady as a rock, allowing two or fewer runs in five of his starts. He has a 2.84 ERA and 1.11 WHIP this year, and while the advanced metrics don't blow you away, he delivers start after start.

Lucas Giolito is just working himself back from a full year off, and the results haven't been pretty. He gave up two homers in his debut and gave up six runs on ten hits in 3.2 innings in his last start. KC is 16-6 straight-up at home, slashing .258/.312/.365/.677, and 11-6 in day games, slashing .283/.333/.433/.767. The Royals will get the W at home on Sunday afternoon!