GEORGIA +3
(NCAAF) Bulldogs (UGA) vs. Longhorns (TEX),
Point Spread: 3.00 | -112.00 Bulldogs (UGA) (Away)
Result: Win
The Bulldogs dominated the first matchup between these teams, forcing four turnovers with seven sacks and ten tackles for loss. Texas QB Quinn Ewers posted seven turnover-worthy plays in that game. His turnover-worthy play rate has increased since last season (1.7% to 4.2%) and he committed two turnovers last week vs. Texas A&M. Ewers doesn't handle pressure well enough to trust in this matchup, especially with LT Kelvin Banks Jr. questionable to play.

On the other side, UGA has benefitted from improved production from QB Carson Beck, who has cut back on turnovers (zero INTs in the last three games). Part of the reason is improved offensive line play, as the Bulldogs have allowed 19 pressures over the past three games compared to 37 in the previous three. With RB Trevor Etienne eyeing a return to the field for this game, Georgia is trending in the right direction on offense.

Trust Bulldogs coach Kirby Smart in this game — UGA can win outright, but I'll gladly take the three points to cover as extra insurance.