Penn State hasn't won a game outright as an underdog since September of 2021 (vs. Wisconsin), losing nine straight. HC James Franklin is 1-16 SU and 5-12 ATS vs. top five teams with Penn State and Vanderbilt.

I like the Nittany Lions. My sister and my brother-in-law went to PSU and I nearly went there myself. I follow them about as closely as any NCAAF team, and while I'll be pulling for them on Saturday, I don't respect them enough to bet on them to cover this spread. Oregon looks like the eventual CFP champion to me, and I feel confident it's on another level than Penn State.