I’m in the over of 47.5 in this Vikings @ Rams game for these reasons:

- in October these teams played and it ended in a 30-20 win for The Rams. The Vikings then went on a 9 game winning streak after that loss, averaging over 25 points the remainder of the season. There’s liability to believe that they will put up more than 20 points in this rematch, especially after their fallout vs the lions the last week of the season where they lost 31 to 9.

- I don’t believe in any of these team’s secondaries. The Vikings DBs are not elite, and they only gain success off the blitzes that shake QBs into bad throws. That won’t be the case here vs Matt Stafford who thrives under pressure from the defensive line and gets the ball out quick to his speedy options Puka and Kupp. The Rams secondary is also very shaky and untrustworthy, having had a relatively easy schedule to end the season, quality teams like the Bills, Eagles, Packers, Lions, all put up 24 plus on them. Sam Darnold has the weapons to hurt this Rams team if it does become a shootout (and I believe it will) with the rams being 17 in points allowed and Vikings being 9th in points forwarded.

- Rams are 6 best in avoiding sacks, while also being bottom tier in getting sacks off other QBs. This means both QBs will have enough time in the pocket to make downfield plays where I see the receivers having enough time to double move and gain separation to convert these deep plays. The Rams are also the best in offensive penalties, and the Vikings are the worst at causing defensive penalties. With receivers like Puka and Kupp, the Vikings could be giving up a lot of good field goal positioning just because of penalties, which will inevitably lead to a shootout.

Official Play: Over 47.5

Side Bet: Tyler Higbee over 24.5 receiving yards

Hail Mary: Rams Moneyline